Analysis of Household Decisions Regarding Car Ownership and Use under Technological, Economic and Regulatory Uncertainties
Keywords: Mobility ; Uncertainty ; Behavioral economics ; Real options theory ; Energy transition ; Econometric modeling
This doctoral research aims to analyze household decisions related to car ownership, motorization, and usage in a context of technological, economic, and regulatory uncertainty. Combining microeconomic theory, behavioral economics, and real options theory, the thesis investigates how uncertainties affect household choices. Based on revealed and stated preference data, it applies dynamic discrete choice models to capture decision-making processes. It also uses agent-based simulations to prospectively assess the impacts of various public policies and technological innovations on the transition to more sustainable mobility. Conducted in partnership with Renault Group and the LAET research lab, this thesis provides both academic insights and practical tools to support the decarbonization of the transport sector.
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Laaroussi Bilel
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LAET – ENTPE 3 Rue Maurice Audin 69120 Vaulx-en-Velin
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